Above‑Average Heat and Rain Forecast for UAE from November 2026 to March 2027
The National Center of Meteorology predicts that the UAE will experience above‑average temperatures and rainfall from November 2026 through March 2027, driven by a strong El Niño event.
Forecast Overview
In its seasonal forecast report on El Niño and La Niña effects, the NCM said that climate indicators in the Pacific Ocean point to significant El Niño activity, which is expected to bring warmer and wetter conditions to the Emirates during the stated period.
El Niño Probability and Impact
The centre highlighted a 96 percent probability that El Niño will continue, with the potential for strong weather conditions towards the end of the forecast window.
Expected Duration and Effects
Current indicators suggest the El Niño pattern will persist until February, and its influence on the UAE’s climate may extend as far as April 2027. A file picture used for illustrative purpose accompanies the report.
By Ahmed Abed – 2 min read
